Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Purple Prognosticating With Mike Otto - Pt. 1: The Offense

Movin' the chains, movin' the chains...

Mike Otto is Newest Industry's resident expert on both the Purple and all things NFL. As the season progresses we'll be seeing more posts from him.


With Vikings training camp moving to full-pad workouts this week, Mike just couldn't wait to get started on this year's version of the Vikings.

He decided to break down the offense position by position and move on to the defense next week.

Position By Position: What Needs To Change? What Should Stay The Same?

Offensive Line: This unit has the most important job on the field:  Keeping Christian Ponder upright.


On paper this is a vastly improved group.  Drafting Matt Kalil allows Charlie Johnson to switch back to left guard, a position he is more physically acclimated to playing.


John Sullivan is suddenly a veteran on this group, and a solid one at that.



Right guard, however, is a competition between 3 guys you've never heard of: Chris DeGeare, Brandon Fusco, and Geoff Schwartz.  Remember, though, there was a time when no one had ever heard of David Dixon or Randall McDaniel.


This is a big year for Phil Loadholt.  He needs to improve his footwork and speed to show he is worthy of his draft position three years ago.  If he has a good year, he's gonna get paid.  If not, he won't  be in purple much longer. (Ed. Note: Unless he signs with the Ravens. Fuckin' McKinnie...)


Quarterback: Last year Christian Ponder came out with a bang in the home game against the rival (fudge) Packers. He stuck a couple nice passes on a good Packers' secondary, most memorably a one-on-one touchdown to Michael Jenkins against future Hall Of Fame cornerback Charles Woodson.


Even though the Vikings lost, they put up quite a fight against and much better team and CP7 showed tons of promise.

Unfortunately, that may have been his best game.  You can't say you had a good season as a quarterback when your best play comes in a loss.

Game by game, CP7 seemed to grow more timid, more likely to panic in the pocket & take off running, and more likely to stare down a receiver for an interception.  I even started to see a little bit of the dreaded "Tarvaris Jackson Happy Feet" in the pocket.

Part of this may be tied to poor offensive line play (see above), but great QB's make a marginal O-line look good and he made a marginal O-line look awful.

A 50% completion rate simply won't cut it. He needs to complete at least 60% of his passes this year.

The Vikings will go as CP7 goes. I think he'll get over the rookie jitters and improve in his 1st full year.

Running Back:  All eyes on Adrian Peterson.


I know #28 will come out with the same passion he has always had. While this prospect excites me, it also frightens me.

The fact is, Adrian is one more major knee injury away from being a Toby Gerhart and we already have one of those.  My hope is the training/coaching staff hold him back until he is 100%.  If that means missing the first 6 games, that's fine with me.

Toby Gerhart was impressive filling in for #28, showed lots of heart, broke a couple of nice runs... but he's still no Adrian Peterson

Tight End: Another position this team will need improved production from in order to compete in the NFC North.

Ponder-to-Kyle Rudolph showed flashes of promise last year, but the two had trouble connecting with any consistency week to week.  So far in camp Rudolph appears to be CP7's favorite target, with the two looking in sync and connecting on touchdown after touchdown.


With the signing of John Carlson, the Vikings have two good pass catching tight ends.  I'm excited for the first time we line up in a two-tight-end set, showing run, go play action with All Day, watch those linebackers bit, then watch Kyle Rudolph go 30-20-10-TOUCHDOWN!! CALL IT PA! Yeah!

According to reports our boys have been watching tapes on the New England Patriots and how their tight ends roll.  If you can't beat 'em, join 'em, right?


The Vikings have five tight ends in camp & I wouldn't be surprised if we kept four of them.  With Jim Kleinsasser retired, we need a blocking TE.  Look for third year man Allen Reisner and big rookie Rhett Ellison (USC, 6'6", 260 lbs.) to round out the tight end corps.

Wide Receiver: For the Vikings to improve this season, they'll need much better production from their receivers.  That makes this one of the more interesting position battles to watch in camp.



Barring injury, Percy Harvin & Michael Jenkins will be the Week 1 starters. After that it gets much more muddied.

Without a doubt, Jerome Simpson will have a roster spot, but he is suspended for the first 3 games.  This opens the window for one of 2 rookies to make a splash early and never look back.

Let's have a look at their college careers year-by-year:

Greg Childs (Arkansas):

Freshman: 12 games, 0 starts, 18 receptions, 273 yards, 2 TD
Sophomore: 13 games, 8 starts, 48 receptions, 894 yards, 7 TD
Junior: 8 games, 8 starts, 46 receptions, 659 yards, 6 TD before suffering a season-ending Patella tendon injury

Greg Childs is fully recovered from his devastating injury and holds a size advantage on most NFL cornerbacks. At 6'3", 219 lbs. and sporting a 36" vertical, he's a big boy.

Childs clocked a 4.55 40 yard dash at the combine, so he is a bit slow.  He needs to work on being an excellent possession receiver.  I could see him becoming a competent wide receiver in the NFL along the lines of Jake Reed or Mike Williams



Jarius Wright (Arkansas):

Freshman: 12 games, 0 starts, 19 receptions, 348 yards, 2 TD
Sophomore: 13 games, 9 starts, 41 receptions, 681 yards, 5 TD
Junior: 13 games, 13 starts, 42 receptions, 788 yards, 5 TD
Senior: 13 games, 13 starts, 66 receptions, 1117 yards, 12 TD

Jarius Wright is smaller (5'10", 182 lbs.) but faster (a 4.4 40 at the combine). at 38", he also has a 2" vertical leap advantage.  He started the last 35 games of his college career, indicating strong durability for a guy his size.

In his senior year at Arkansas he broke school records for receptions in a year, receiving yards in a year, receiving yards in a game, and career receptions.  Not to mention the school record for receiving touchdowns in a season (12).

I  believe he will be 3rd on the depth chart Week 1, playing in the slot.  With hard work and a little luck he could turn himself into a Steve Smith-type of receiver.

Receivers last year left a lot to be desired. On paper, this group is better. At the very least they're a million times more exciting.

Boom! How's that for some offense! Thanks to Mike for breaking this side of the ball down for us. As mentioned, he'll be back next week to break down the defense.  Until then, you can get his thoughts on just about everything from the Vikings to the travails of biking around Minneapolis on Twitter (@SwervinTaters)

Of course, this blog is on Twitter as well (@NewestIndustry1) doing its best to do the Twin Cities proud.

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